Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
Cadiz
27.6%
Draw
31.7%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cadiz
vs
1.08
Numancia
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.2%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).