Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Leicester
28.1%
Draw
55.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Leicester
vs
1.61
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.9%
0-2
11.7%
0-0
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
3.7%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).