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21 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Bristol Rvs
22.5%
Draw
63.0%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.61

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.62

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS35.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
18.3%
0-2
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-0
7.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-1
3.2%
0-4
3.1%
2-2
2.6%
2-0
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).