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07 Dec 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.1%
Raków Częstochowa
28.7%
Draw
24.2%
Katowice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.97

Katowice

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.7%
Over 3.522.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).