Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.4%
Estoril
20.1%
Draw
22.4%
Aves
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Estoril
vs
1.23
Aves
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
0-1
4.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).