Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
Monza
25.8%
Draw
57.4%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Monza
vs
1.49
Lazio
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-2
12.9%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).