Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Raków Częstochowa
22.5%
Draw
13.9%
Arka Gdynia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Raków Częstochowa
vs
0.82
Arka Gdynia
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).