Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Fleetwood Town
26.2%
Draw
36.1%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.21
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).