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15 Sept 2024 · 10:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.7%
Piast Gliwice
21.4%
Draw
14.9%
Puszcza Niepołomice

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Piast Gliwice

vs
0.95

Puszcza Niepołomice

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.0%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
4.0%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).