Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Crystal Palace
29.4%
Draw
35.6%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Crystal Palace
vs
1.34
Brentford
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).