Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Modena
28.9%
Draw
18.4%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Modena
vs
0.77
Ternana
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).