Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.9%
Alverca
24.6%
Draw
54.5%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Alverca
vs
1.55
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).