Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Zenit
15.9%
Draw
4.4%
Orenburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Zenit
vs
0.42
Orenburg
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.4%
1-0
14.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7.0%
3-1
5.6%
5-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
2.0%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).