Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.5%
Crewe
31.1%
Draw
37.4%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Crewe
vs
0.98
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.528.3%
Over 3.511.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-0
15.1%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
12.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).