Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.4%
Dortmund
11.4%
Draw
5.1%
Bochum
Expected Goals (xG)
3.04
Dortmund
vs
0.69
Bochum
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.0%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.2%
2-0
11.1%
4-0
8.6%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
4-1
5.9%
1-1
5.4%
5-0
5.2%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.7%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).