Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →93.9%
Matlock Town
4.5%
Draw
1.6%
Bottesford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Matlock Town
vs
0.48
Bottesford Town
Markets
BTTS37.5%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.7%
Over 2.582.4%
Over 3.565.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
12.1%
3-0
12.1%
5-0
9.7%
2-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
5-1
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
1-1
2.1%
4-2
1.4%
3-2
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).