Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Newport County
22.5%
Draw
52.8%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Newport County
vs
1.76
Salford
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).