Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Cardiff
23.9%
Draw
55.4%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Cardiff
vs
1.91
Southampton
Markets
BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.535.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-3
3.4%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).