Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Farense
29.6%
Draw
37.7%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Farense
vs
1.05
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS39.4%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).