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AHT: 02CSV

01 May 2023 · 19:45

Dijon

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.5%
Sochaux
27.2%
Draw
30.2%
Dijon

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Sochaux

vs
0.95

Dijon

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.1%
0-1
12.3%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
10.8%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).