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HHT: 11CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
West Brom
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.11

West Brom

vs
1.41

Norwich

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.3%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).