Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.7%
Alanyaspor
22.6%
Draw
11.7%
Ad. Demirspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Alanyaspor
vs
0.93
Ad. Demirspor
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
4.6%
2-2
4.6%
4-1
4.3%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).