Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.8%
Portsmouth
14.0%
Draw
9.2%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.48
Portsmouth
vs
0.71
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.7%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
0-1
3.5%
0-0
3.5%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).