Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Mirandes
25.3%
Draw
31.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
Mirandes
vs
1.23
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).