Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Grimsby
29.9%
Draw
38.4%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Grimsby
vs
1.05
Northampton
Markets
BTTS38.9%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.0%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
3.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).