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04 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Genclerbirligi
37.0%
Draw
31.3%
Alanyaspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Genclerbirligi

vs
1.03

Alanyaspor

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.534.4%
Over 3.515.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.9%
0-0
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).