Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Montpellier
28.6%
Draw
37.2%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Montpellier
vs
1.12
Dijon
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
13.0%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).