Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Stal Mielec
25.0%
Draw
47.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Stal Mielec
vs
1.78
Jagiellonia Białystok
Markets
BTTS62.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.0%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).