Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Mantova
25.3%
Draw
30.2%
Pescara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Mantova
vs
1.42
Pescara
Markets
BTTS63.8%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).