Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Tenerife
31.5%
Draw
37.2%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Tenerife
vs
1.01
Girona
Markets
BTTS37.4%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.556.5%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
0-0
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).