Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Ingolstadt
24.9%
Draw
49.9%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Ingolstadt
vs
1.83
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.7%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
4.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).