Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.7%
Cambridge
28.9%
Draw
22.4%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Cambridge
vs
0.72
Colchester
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.1%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).