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HHT: 20CSV

04 May 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.8%
Peterhead
26.4%
Draw
19.8%
Dumbarton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.86

Peterhead

vs
1.08

Dumbarton

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).