Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Nottingham Forest
30.0%
Draw
40.7%
Brentford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Nottingham Forest
vs
1.39
Brentford
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).