Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Rochdale
22.8%
Draw
50.8%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Rochdale
vs
1.72
Swindon
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).