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04 Mar 2022 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.7%
Bielefeld
33.9%
Draw
35.4%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Bielefeld

vs
0.99

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS38.4%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.1%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.9%
1-0
12.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
3-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).