Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Stevenage
27.6%
Draw
36.3%
Doncaster
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Stevenage
vs
1.13
Doncaster
Markets
BTTS45.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
12.3%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).