Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.7%
Notts County
15.6%
Draw
8.7%
Solihull
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Notts County
vs
0.83
Solihull
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.546.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.7%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
6.4%
4-1
5.3%
2-2
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
5-0
3.4%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).