Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.5%
Falkirk
9.0%
Draw
3.5%
Kelty Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
3.32
Falkirk
vs
0.61
Kelty Hearts
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.590.5%
Over 2.575.1%
Over 3.555.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.0%
2-0
10.9%
4-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
5-0
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
4-1
6.1%
1-1
4.3%
5-1
4.0%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).