Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.7%
Livyi Bereh
29.0%
Draw
51.3%
Karpaty
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Livyi Bereh
vs
1.34
Karpaty
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
0-3
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).