Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Forest Green
28.3%
Draw
25.8%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Forest Green
vs
0.84
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).