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24 Aug 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.0%
Stockport
18.5%
Draw
12.5%
Bristol Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.99

Stockport

vs
0.68

Bristol Rvs

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
2-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.6%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.5%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).