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29 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.9%
Annan Athletic
30.3%
Draw
28.7%
Bonnyrigg Rose

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Annan Athletic

vs
1.19

Bonnyrigg Rose

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.3%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).