Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.4%
Kasimpasa
18.4%
Draw
75.2%
Galatasaray
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Kasimpasa
vs
2.52
Galatasaray
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
6.7%
0-0
5.8%
1-4
4.7%
0-5
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).