Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
St Etienne
22.0%
Draw
42.3%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
St Etienne
vs
1.63
Metz
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-0
3.6%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).