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HHT: 10CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.1%
Partick
28.1%
Draw
23.8%
Arbroath

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Partick

vs
1.11

Arbroath

Markets

BTTS56.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).