Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Benevento
31.4%
Draw
31.2%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Benevento
vs
1.06
Trapani
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.8%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).