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09 May 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.1%
Wisła Płock
30.8%
Draw
30.1%
Motor Lublin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Wisła Płock

vs
1.04

Motor Lublin

Markets

BTTS46.6%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.4%
0-0
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).