Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.6%
Chievo
29.1%
Draw
22.3%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Chievo
vs
0.91
Spezia
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).