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AHT: 01CSV

08 Dec 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.8%
Regensburg
24.3%
Draw
64.8%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.58

Regensburg

vs
1.75

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS37.3%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-1
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
5.0%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
3.8%
2-1
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
1-4
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).